LatAm Corporates Summary - Roger Kinkead, CFA

COMCEL TRUST. GT. BB+. 10.88 3Q15. 6%. 3%. 51.0. 1.3. 10.9. 873.8. 432.1. -23.8. ***. OI BRASIL HLDGS. BR. BB-. 22.35 3Q15. -2%. 9%. 27.2. 3.7. 2.0.
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LatAm Corporates Summary Issuer

Country

Security Name

AVG Rating

YTW (%)

Filling

Basic Materials

Chg Revenue yoy

Chg EBITDA yoy

EBITDA Margin (%)

Net 3M Interest OAS Debt/ Spread Coverage Spread EBITDA CHG (x) (bps) (x) (bps)

1Y Price CHG (%)

Credit Fundamentals (1)

Local Currency

FIBRIA OVERSEAS

BR

FIBRBZ 5 1/4 2024

BBB-

5.51

3Q15

60%

95%

53.8

1.9

12.3

335.3

7.1

-2.6

SQM

CL

SQM 3 5/8 2023

BBB

5.90

3Q15

-5%

-14%

33.8

0.7

8.4

375.9

6.5

-10.0

BRASKEM FIN LTD

BR

BRASKM 5 3/4 2021

BBB-

8.08

3Q15

12%

129%

23.1

2.5

6.0

630.3

-63.3

-11.8

MEXICHEM SAB

MX

MXCHF 4 7/8 2022

BBB-

4.64

3Q15

1%

13%

16.2

2.1

4.4

262.9

20.8

-2.3

ALPEK SA DE CV

MX

ALPEKA 4 1/2 2022

BBB-

5.21

3Q15

3%

48%

12.5

1.3

10.6

314.4

74.1

-5.0

GERDAU TRADE INC

BR

GGBRBZ 4 3/4 2023

BBB-

9.52

3Q15

11%

6%

10.6

4.1

3.1

742.2

159.3

-20.9

VALE OVERSEAS

BR

VALEBZ 4 3/8 2022

BBB

9.11

3Q15

13%

6%

28.1

4.2

7.8

720.0

284.9

-17.8

25.4

2.4

7.5

483.0

69.9

-10.0

Simple Mean

***** *** **** *** **** *** ***

Communications COLOMBIA TELEC

CO

TELEFO 5 3/8 2022

BB

6.90

3Q15

1%

-11%

34.8

4.2

2.2

487.0

54.6

-8.0

TELECEL

PY

TCDPSA 6 3/4 2022

BB

7.98

3Q15

18%

16%

33.1

2.0

5.0

585.4

108.8

-9.5

COMCEL TRUST

GT

MIICF 6 7/8 2024

BB+

10.88

3Q15

6%

3%

51.0

1.3

10.9

873.8

432.1

-23.8

OI BRASIL HLDGS

BR

OIBRBZ 5 3/4 2022

BB-

22.35

3Q15

-2%

9%

27.2

3.7

2.0

2,038.7

863.5

-51.8

36.5

2.8

5.0

996.2

364.8

-23.3

-29.8

-5.5

Simple Mean

*** **** *** *

Consumer, Cyclical ARCOS DORADOS HL

AR

ARCO 6 5/8 2023

BB

7.76

3Q15

-17%

-57%

6.4

3.0

1.7

567.3

OFFICE DEPOT MEX

MX

OFDMEX 6 7/8 2020

BB

6.21

2Q15

25%

35%

10.5

2.5

3.2

444.3

-3.8

-2.8

JAVER

MX

JAVER 9 7/8 2021

B

8.49

2Q15

1%

-7%

14.8

2.8

1.6

635.5

42.1

-4.2

METALSA SA DE CV

MX

METLSA 4.9 2023

BB+

7.16

3Q15

5%

17%

9.5

1.3

7.0

504.7

62.2

-4.8

10.3

2.4

3.4

537.9

17.7

-4.3

Simple Mean

** **** ** ****

Cons, Non -Cyclical GRUPO BIMBO SAB

MX

BIMBOA 3 7/8 2024

BBB

4.19

3Q15

12%

17%

11.5

3.3

5.4

205.3

1.5

-2.1

CONTROLADORA MAB

MX

MABEMX 7 7/8 2019

BB+

5.21

2Q15

20%

42%

10.1

2.8

4.5

364.9

-16.9

-2.7

CENCOSUD SA

CL

CENSUD 4 7/8 2023

BBB-

5.44

3Q15

2%

9%

5.8

4.1

2.6

339.6

43.5

-2.7

BRASIL FOODS

BR

BRFSBZ 5 7/8 2022

BBB

5.22

3Q15

4%

21%

16.2

1.2

6.7

323.3

37.3

-3.7

JBS INVESTMENTS

BR

JBSSBZ 7 1/4 2024

BB+

8.50

2Q15

34%

47%

9.7

2.2

3.9

638.3

131.4

-10.4

CORP LINDLEY

PE

CORJRL 4 5/8 2023

BB+

4.80

3Q15

14%

47%

12.6

4.0

2.3

282.9

3.6

1.5

MARFRIG

BR

MRFGBZ 9 1/2 2020

B

9.97

3Q15

-6%

49%

9.3

4.0

1.3

824.7

-30.0

-4.0

10.7

3.1

3.8

425.6

24.3

-3.5

Simple Mean

**** *** *** **** *** *** *

Industrial CEMENTOS PACASMA

PE

CPACPE 4 1/2 2023

BB+

5.41

2Q15

9%

6%

31.4

1.3

12.8

331.5

-30.4

0.4

FERREYCORP SAA

PE

FERROS 4 7/8 2020

BB+

5.85

3Q15

12%

54%

11.6

3.1

3.5

412.4

-32.6

-1.5

CEMEX

MX

CEMEX 9 3/8 2022

B+

7.45

3Q15

11%

11%

15.9

7.0

2.4

548.5

143.4

-4.8

SAN MIGUEL INDUS

PE

SMIPET 7 3/4 2020

BB

6.56

2Q15

7%

5%

25.2

4.5

3.0

460.7

-27.0

-4.0

ODEBRECHT

BR

ODBR 5 1/8 2022

BBB-

12.10

3Q15

81%

82%

9.8

0.5

7.2

1,027.1

753.7

-31.4

18.8

3.3

5.8

556.0

161.4

-8.2

Simple Mean

**** *** * ** ****

Utilities SABESP

BR

SBSPBZ 6 1/4 2020

BB

8.62

3Q15

13%

30%

32.3

3.2

4.0

674.9

-2.7

-9.3

COSICE

CR

COSICE 6.95 2021

BB+

6.83

3Q15

-5%

-45%

26.8

2.2

3.9

495.8

55.5

-5.2

EE BOGOTÁ

CO

EEBCB 6 1/8 2021

BBB-

4.87

3Q15

12%

10%

21.9

1.3

11.6

290.0

-22.8

-3.6

EE. PP. MEDELLIN

CO

EEPPME 7 5/8 2019

BBB

3.73

2Q15

5%

3%

29.9

2.1

5.4

225.8

16.3

-4.7

27.7

2.2

6.2

421.6

11.6

-5.7

435.5

66.3

-9.8

979.3

170.1

-17.8

Simple Mean

*** ** **** ***

Energy ECOPETROL SA

CO

ECOPET 5 7/8 2023

BBB

6.42

3Q15

-23%

-26%

26.4

2.5

7.8

PETROBRAS

BR

PETBRA 4 7/8 2020

BB

11.33

2Q15

-29%

-12%

21.0

4.0

3.9

PACIFIC RUBIALES

CO

PRECN 5 5/8 2025

B

33.77

3Q15

-50%

-77%

21.3

4.2

4.2

PEMEX

MX

PEMEX 3 1/2 2020

BBB+

4.32

3Q15

-23%

-59%

27.0

3.5

4.5

261.7

61.0

PETROTRIN

TT

PETRTT 6 2022

BB

7.57

2Q15

-31%

-36%

11.3

4.5

2.8

590.2

77.2

-7.7

21.4

3.7

4.6

1037.9

398.7

-22.1

3M OAS Spread Spread CHG (bps) (bps)

1Y Price CHG (%)

Simple Mean

Issuer

Country Security Name

AVG Rating

YTW

Efficiency Filling Ratio

NPL /Total Loans

Loans/ Capital Deposits Ratio

ROAA

2,922.9 1,618.9

-71.7 -3.7

*** ** * ** *

Credit Fundamentals

Financial AGROMERCANTIL SR

GT

AGROME 6 1/4 2019

BB

5.45

3Q15

64.0%

1.2%

100.7%

9.7%

1.5%

399.7

-61.0

-1.3

BANCO BRASL (CI)

BR

BANBRA 3 7/8 2022

BB+

7.41

3Q15

49.0%

4.1%

173.0%

16.2%

0.8%

536.4

46.7

-11.3

BANCO BRADES CI

BR

BRADES 5 3/4 2022

BB+

6.73

3Q15

60.9%

4.6%

165.3%

14.5%

1.7%

483.7

24.4

-8.9

BBVA CONTINENTAL

PE

BCOCPE 5 3/4 2017

BBB+

2.78

3Q15

40.3%

2.4%

109.9%

14.0%

1.9%

166.4

34.1

-4.0

BANCO NAL CR

CR

BNALCR 4 7/8 2018

BB+

4.90

3Q15

70.4%

2.2%

92.9%

9.2%

0.7%

351.1

4.6

-1.1

BANCO INTL PERU

PE

BINTPE 5 3/4 2020

BBB

4.03

3Q15

42.3%

2.5%

103.8%

15.6%

2.4%

234.1

-13.7

-0.6

BANCO DE CREDITO

PE

BCP 4 1/4 2023

BBB+

4.14

3Q15

38.8%

2.6%

104.7%

14.4%

2.1%

208.9

-28.0

0.6

BANCO DE CR

CR

BANDCR 5 1/4 2018

BB+

5.02

3Q15

72.3%

1.9%

109.8%

9.2%

0.5%

373.7

23.2

-1.0

GLOBAL BANK CORP

PA

GLBACO 5 1/8 2019

BBB-

4.99

3Q15

51.0%

1.0%

139.3%

8.1%

1.3%

350.3

20.5

-1.5

BANCO DAVIVIENDA

CO

DAVIVI 5 7/8 2022

BB+

6.04

3Q15

46.4%

1.8%

120.9%

12.1%

1.8%

405.6

-51.4

-1.9

BANCO DE BOGOTA

CO

BANBOG 5 3/8 2023

BBB-

5.75

2Q15

71.2%

1.5%

95.9%

11.5%

1.8%

371.7

24.1

-4.3

BANCOLOMBIA

CO

BCOLO 5 1/8 2022

BBB-

5.65

3Q15

58.0%

2.3%

112.8%

13.2%

1.5%

366.0

0.1

-3.5

GRUPO AVAL LTD

CO

AVALCB 4 3/4 2022

BBB-

5.98

2Q15

56.0%

1.7%

102.0%

11.0%

1.8%

395.2

-28.4

-5.6

BTG PACTUAL

BR

BTGPBZ 5 3/4 2022

B+

20.35

3Q15

65.0%

0.1%

100.7%

16.9%

2.2%

1,714.6

975.4

-45.3

BBVA BANCOMER

MX

BBVASM 6.008 2022

BB+

6.08

3Q15

43.6%

2.5%

107.3%

14.6%

1.8%

491.7

97.9

-4.0

55.3%

2.2%

115.9%

12.7%

1.6%

456.6

71.2

-6.2

Simple Mean

*** ** ** **** *** **** **** *** *** *** **** **** **** ** ****

(1) ***** very good, ****good,***fair,**poor ,* very poor

Sources: Companies Data, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse, Fitch

MMG Bank Research & Analysis Analista: Francisco Pinillos [email protected] +507 208 7106

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