Emission Inventories Construction in Latin America and the Caribbean

St. Vicent & G. Argentina. Bolivia. Brazil. Chile. Colombia. Guyana. Paraguay. Peru ..... Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima) ...
215KB Größe 4 Downloads 105 vistas
Emission Inventories Construction in Latin America and the Caribbean

Darío Gómez Department of Chemistry Atomic Energy Commission of Argentina

Contents z

Greenhouse inventories of LAC countries submitted to the UNFCCC z z z

z

Emission inventories of Brazil, México, Argentina z z

z

Gases Methods Emissions Stationary combustion Road transport

Conclusions

National GHG inventories of Latin-American and Caribbean countries 26 26 Antigua & B. Bahamas

24

Barbados Cuba

22

Dominica Dominican R.

20

Jamaica Haití

18

17

16

Antigua & B.

St. Kitts & N. St. Lucia St. Vicent & G.

Bahamas

14 12 10 8 6 4

Cuba

Belize

Dominican R.

El Salvador

Trinidad & T.

Honduras

Mexico

Nicaragua

Costa Rica

Panamá

Guatemala

Argentina

Argentina

Bolivia

Bolivia

Brazil

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Colombia

Guyana Ecuador

2

Mexico

Barbados

2

2

Paraguay Uruguay

3 Brazil

Brazil

Brazil

Chile

Guyana

Guyana

Guyana

1991

1992

4

Guyana Paraguay Peru

2 Honduras

Uruguay

Cuba Mexico Costa Rica

3 2

Mexico

Argentina

Guyana

2

2

Venezuela

Uruguay

1999

2000

Guyana

Guyana

Guyana

Uruguay

1995

1996

1997

1998

0 1990

1993

1994

Source: First to Sixth Compilation and Synthesis of Initial Communications from Parties not Included in Annex I to de Convention, UNFCCC

Gases inventoried per sub-region, country CO2 México Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panamá Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Guyana Paraguay Perú Uruguay Venezuela Antigua & Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Cuba Dominica Dominican Republic Haití Jamaica St. Kitts & Nevis St. Lucia St. Vicent & the Grenadines Trinidad & Tobago

CH4

N2O

NOX

CO

NMVOC

SO2

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

Source: 1) 6th’Compilation and Synthesis of Initial Communications from Parties not Included in Annex I to de Convention, 2) National Communications

Methods per sub-region, country - Energy Country

Submission 1995 GL 1996 GL GPG

México Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panamá Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Guyana Paraguay Perú Uruguay Venezuela Antigua & Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Cuba Dominica Dominican Republic Haití Jamaica St. Kitts & Nevis St. Lucia St. Vicent & the Grenadines Trinidad & Tobago

1997 & 2001 2002 2000 2000 2002 2000 2001 2001 1997/1999 2000 2004 2000 2001 2000 2002 2002 2001 1997 & 2004 2005 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2002 2000 2001 2001 2000 2001

-? X ------------? ----? ---------?

X ? X X X X X X X X X X X X X ? X X X X ? X X X X X X X X X ?

X ? ------X -X ----? -X --? ---------?

Stationary comb. Methods Efs T1, T2 ? ? ? T1? ? T1 D T1 ? ? ? T1 D T1 D T1, T2 CS(CO2, NOx), D T1 CS(CO2), D T1, T2 CS, D T1 D T1 CS(SO2), D ? ? T1 D ? ? T1 D T1, T2 D T1 D ? ? ? ? T1 D T1, T2 ? T1 D T1 D ? ? ? ? T1 D T1 D T1 D ? ?

Road Transport Methods T1(CO2), T2 ? ? ? ? ? T1 T1 T2 T1 T3 T1 T1 ? T1 ? T1 T1, T2 T1 ? ? T1 T1, T3 T1 T1 ? ? T1 T1 ? ?

Source: National Communications of all countries, except Jamaica and Paraguay

Efs CS ? D, CS(SO2) ? ? ? D D D D CS, D D D ? D ? D D D ? ? D ? D D ? ? D D ? ?

Methods per sub-region, country - Agriculture Country México Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panamá Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Guyana Paraguay Perú Uruguay Venezuela Antigua & Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Cuba Dominica Dominican Republic Haití Jamaica St. Kitts & Nevis St. Lucia St. Vicent & the Grenadines Trinidad & Tobago

Enteric Fermentation Methods Efs T1 D ? ? T1, T2 D ? ? ? ? ? ? T1 D T1 D T1, T2 D T1, T2 D T1, T2 D T1 D T1 D ? ? T1 D ? ? T1 D T1 D T1 D ? ? ? ? T1 D ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? T1 D T1 D ? ? ? ?

Rice Cultivation Methods Efs ? ?

Agricultural Soils Methods Efs ? ?

Agricultural Burning Methods Efs ? ?

T1 ? ?

CS ? ?

-? ?

-? ?

T1 ? ?

D ? ?

T1 T1 T1 -T1 T1 T1 ? T1 ? T1 T1 T1 ? ? T1 ? ? ? ? ? T1 T1 ? ?

D D D -D D D ? D ? D D D ? ? D ? ? ? ? ? D D ? ?

T1a T1a T1b T1a T1a T1a T1a ? T1 ? T1 T1 T1 ? ? T1 ? ? ? ? ? T1 T1 ? ?

D D D D D D D ? D ? D D D ? ? D ? ? ? ? ? D D ? ?

T1 T1 T1 T1 T1, CS T1 T1 ? T1 ? T1 T1 T1 ? ? T1 ? ? ? ? ? T1 T1 ? ?

D D D D D, CS D D ? D ? D D D ? ? D ? ? ? ? ? D D ? ?

Source: National Communications of all countries, except Jamaica and Paraguay

Emissions of CO2, CH4 and N2O excluding LULUCF (~1994) (Gg CO2 equivalent) 0 Brazil Mexico Argentina Venezuela Paraguay Colombia Jamaica Peru Chile Cuba Ecuador Uruguay Bolivia Dominican Republic Trinidad & Tobago Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Panama Costa Rica Nicaragua Belize Haiti Barbados Guyana Bahamas Grenada St. Lucia Antigua & Barbuda St. Vicent & the Grenadines Saint Kitts & Nevis Dominica

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Energy Industrial Processes Agriculture

Waste

Source: 6th’Compilation and Synthesis of Initial Communications from Parties not Included in Annex I to de Convention

Emissions of CO2, CH4 and N2O excluding LULUCF (~1994) (Gg CO2 equivalent) 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Brazil Mexico Argentina Venezuela Paraguay Colombia Jamaica Peru Chile Cuba Ecuador Uruguay Bolivia Dominican Republic Trinidad & Tobago Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Panama Costa Rica Nicaragua Belize Haiti Barbados Guyana Bahamas Grenada St. Lucia Antigua & Barbuda St. Vicent & the Grenadines Saint Kitts & Nevis Dominica

Source: 6th’Compilation and Synthesis of Initial Communications from Parties not Included in Annex I to de Convention

CO2

CH4

N2O

GHG emissions (~1994) per capita tonne CO2-eq./person: Jamaica (47) > Paraguay (31) > Max. Annex I countries

GHG emission excluding LULUCF (Gg CO2 eq.)

700000

600000

500000

400000

300000

Argentina (~8) 200000

< Venezuela (8) < Uruguay (9)

100000

< Trinidad & Tobago (13) 0 0

20

40

60

80

Population (millions)

100

120

140

160

GHG emissions (~1994) per capita ton CO2 / person 0 Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador Guatemala Haití Honduras Jamaica México Nicaragua Panamá Paraguay Perú Trinidad & Tobago Uruguay Venezuela

5

10

15

kg CH4 / person 20

25 0

100

200

300

kg N2O / person 400 0

4

8

140

658

Also plotted: minimum, average and maximum per capita emissions for Annex I countries

52

12

Stationary combustion – Brazil: activity data z

Annual inventories 1990 - 1994 Steam coal Metallurgical coal

Energy Industries

Coke/coke oven gas Diesel Oil Fuel Oil

Boiler Heater

Manufacturing Industries

Furnace

LPG Other Petroleum Products Natural Gas

Residential Commercial

Kiln Lighting

Wood Charcoal

Agriculture

“Motive Force”

Bagasse

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Fuel Combustion: Bottom-up Approach, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Stationary combustion – Brazil: consumption of fossil fuel vs biomass

Fossil fuels

Biomass

Hydro power

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Fuel Combustion: Bottom-up Approach, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Stationary combustion – Brazil: emission factors for non-CO2 gases Coal

Boilers: T2, T1(NMVOC)

Oil

T1

Natural gas

T1

Biomass

Boilers: T2, T1(NMVOC) Furnaces: T1

Coal

Boilers: T2, T1(NMVOC)

Oil

T1, Ref. gas T2 (CO, NOx)

Natural gas

Boilers: T2, T1(N2O, NMVOC)

Biomass

T1, T2

Residential Commercial Institutional

All fuels

T1

Agriculture

All fuels

T1

Energy Industries

Manufacturing Industries and Construction

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Fuel Combustion: Bottom-up Approach, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Stationary combustion – México: activity data z z

Annual inventories 1990-1998 Fuel consumption disaggregated per source category but not per technology

Man. Ind. & Construction: 17 source categories

Residential: cooking, heating, other

Source: Inventario Nacional de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero 1994-1998, Instituto Nacional de Ecología, Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales, México D.F. (http://www.ine.gob.mx/dgicurg/cclimatico/inventatio.hml)

Stationary combustion – México: emission factors z

z

z

Net heating value: country specific, variable Sulphur content: country specific, variable Emission factors: 1996 IPCC Guidelines

Energy Industries

Manufacturing Industries and Construction

Residential

Commercial Institutional Agriculture

Natural gas

Boilers

Oil

Boilers, normal firing

Coal

Pulverised coal combustion

LPG

Propane boiler

Oil

Boiler

Natural gas

Small boiler (29.3-293 MW)

Wood

~ Conventional stoves (CO)

LPG

Propane / Butane Furnaces

Natural gas

Gas heaters

Kerosene

Oil furnaces

LPG

Propane boilers

Diesel oil

Distillate fuel oil boilers

Fuel oil

Residual fuel oil boilers

All fuels

?

Source: Inventario Nacional de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero 1994-1998, Instituto Nacional de Ecología, Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales, México D.F. (http://www.ine.gob.mx/dgicurg/cclimatico/inventatio.hml)

Stationary combustion – Argentina: activity data

z

Annual inventories 1990, 1994, 1997 and 2000 Fuel consumption disaggregated per source category but generally not per technology 25000

20000

Boiler Diesel Hydro

Gas Turbine Combined Cycle Nuclear

15000 MW

z

10000

5000

0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Source: inventario Nacional de la Republica Argentina, de Fuentes de Emisiones y Absorciones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero, no Controlados por el Protocolo de Montreal, Fundación Bariloche, Buenos Aires, September 2005.

Stationary combustion – Argentina: emission factors z

z

z

Net heating value: country specific, variable NOx emission factors: country specific for electricity generation Emission factors: 1996 IPCC Guidelines

Energy Industries

Manufacturing Industries and Construction

Residential

Commercial Institutional

Agriculture

Natural gas

Boilers, Gas turbines, NGCC

Oil

Boilers, Dual turbines

Coal

Pulverised coal combustion

LPG

Propane boiler

Oil

Boiler

Natural gas

Small boiler (29.3-293 MW)

Biomass

T1

Wood

Conventional stoves

LPG

Propane / Butane Furnaces

Natural gas

Gas heaters

Kerosene

Distillate fuel oil combustion

Natural gas

Boilers

LPG

Propane + butane boilers

Diesel oil

Distillate fuel oil boilers

Fuel oil

Residual fuel oil boilers

Diesel oil

Off-road farm equipment

Source: inventario Nacional de la Republica Argentina, de Fuentes de Emisiones y Absorciones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero, no Controlados por el Protocolo de Montreal, Fundación Bariloche, Buenos Aires, September 2005.

Road transport – Brazil: activity data Type

Passengers cars (88.6%) Light duty vehicles

Fuel

Gasoline Ethanol

Sport utility vehicles (11.4%) Passengers (< 0.2%) Sport utility vehicles (28%) Heavy duty vehicles Trucks (60%) Buses (13%)

Diesel

Age 0 -1 1 -2 2 -5 5-10 10-15 15+ 0 -2 2 -5 5-10 10-15 15+

Approach

km traveled

Fuel consumption

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Movable Sources in the Energy Sector, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Road transport – Brazil: emission factors z z z

CO2: country specific carbon content N2O: 1996 IPCC GLs Gasoline and ethanol fueled vehicles z z

For new vehicles + deterioration factor CO, NOx and HC: country specific z

Environmental Sanitation Technology Company of São Paulo z

z

z

standard emission test: urban traffic at 31.5 km/h; 20-30 oC; 40-60% relative humidity of air

CH4 and NMVOC: measured HC EFs and EF(CH4)/EF(NMVOC)=0.0132 (1996 IPCC GLs)

Diesel fueled vehicles z z z

CO, NOx and HC: Pre 1994: EC regulation No. 49, since 1994: limits established by Brazilian regulations CH4: IPCC default NMVOC = HC – CH4

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Movable Sources in the Energy Sector, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima). Emission factors and limitis: http://www.ibama.gov.br/proconve/home.htm

Road transport – México: activity data Type Passengers cars Light trucks Heavy trucks

Heavy trucks

Light vehicles Heavy vehicles

Fuel

Parameters

Approach

Gasoline Conventional

Diesel

LPG

Catalytic

Vintage

Fuel consumption: CO2, SO2

km traveled: CH4, N2O, NOx,CO, NMVOC

Motorcycles

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Movable Sources in the Energy Sector, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Road transport – México: emission factors z z z

CO2, SO2: country specific contents N2O: 1996 IPCC GLs Gasoline fueled vehicles z

CO, NOx and HC: country specific z

z

Diesel fueled vehicles and motorcycles z

z

Mexican Petroleum Institute

MOBILE 5a. 3MCMA

LPG fueled vehicles z

1966 IPCC Gls

Source: First Brazilian Inventory of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Background Reports: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Movable Sources in the Energy Sector, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2002 (http://www.mct.gov.br/clima)

Road transport – Argentina: activity data Fuel

Number (%)

Consumption (%)

Urban buses

Gasoline Natural gas Diesel oil Gasoline Natural gas Diesel oil Diesel oil

62.3 7.1 7.0 < 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4

20.1 4.2 3.2 0.0 1.8 1.0 4.7

Long-distance buses

Diesel oil

0.3

4.5

Gasoline Natural gas Diesel oil Diesel Oil

5.0 1.4 11.9 3.6

9.4 5.5 21.2 24.3

Type

Private Cars Passenger

Load

Taxis

< 4 ton > 4 ton

Approach

km traveled

specific fuel

consumption

Emission factors: Tier 2 IPCC – European vehicles (gasoline and diesel oil), U.S. vehicles (natural gas) Source: inventario Nacional de la Republica Argentina, de Fuentes de Emisiones y Absorciones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero, no Controlados por el Protocolo de Montreal, Fundación Bariloche, Buenos Aires, September 2005.

Country specific EFs for CO (g/km) Brasil

Argentina

Mexico

90

Trucks 80 70 60

Passenger cars (+ deterioration factor) Sport utility vehicles

50

SUV 40 30 20 10

Passenger cars: 0 km

Passenger cars Taxis Passenger cars

0 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Sources: Brazil (http://www.ibama.gov.br/proconve/home.htm), México (http://www.red-deautoridades.org/cds/disco04/inventario/inventariozmvm1998/3metodologiaparalaestimaciondeemisiones.doc), Argentina (Laboratorio de Control de Emisiones Gaseosas Vehiculares, Secretarìa de Ambiente y Recursos Naturales)

Emission inventories for cities z

Bogotá (Colombia), Buenos Aires (Argentina), Lima-Callao (Perú), México D.F. (México), Santiago (Chile) ,São Paulo (Brazil)

z

Focus on road transport

z

Development of national and city inventories are generally not coordinated

z

Recent joint projects of research groups

Key issues z z z z z

Strengthen the capacity and assure the continuity of the institutions involved Develop a national system (“not starting from scratch”) Improve consistency and comparability Establish (or improve) systematic QA/QC and uncertainty estimation Activity data z z z z z

z

Some are lacking or not accessible Improve quality of disaggregated information for bottom-up approaches (including the information on bunker fuels) Collect information on biomass fuels that do not pass through commercial markets Systematize data regarding the stocks and composition of vehicle fleet Verify data provided by sectoral information sources

Emission factors z z z

Need to estimate country specific EF Representative statistical data collection Synergy among countries and different information sources

Source: Hands-on Training Workshop of the CGE on GHG National Inventories for Non Annex I Countries, Panama, 25-29 October 2004